Investment Ideas Weekly – Monday Sep 21, 2015


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(Monday – Sep 21, 2015)

A weekly forecast and investment ideas covering a range of technical and fundamental analysis securities to assist you in when to buy and when to sell a specific security.

This is informational only and is not meant as a recommendation to buy or sell any security, but a guide to start the research process before making any stock purchase or a sell recommendation.

The information provided is based on timely fundamental, technical analysis or both. Technical analysis can change hour by hour; tick by tick so keep that in mind as to the timeliness of the information especially if you are reading this days or even weeks later.

The market trend as of this past Friday Sep 18 was Neutral , the price trend has moved Downward though the 20 day moving average and  20 has moved below the 50 day average .

The primary trend is Down over the past five day, the longer trend (two weeks) is Up. MACD turned Positive. YTD the S&P 500 is negative at -3.34 %.

Futures are up this morning, however I suggest you take a wait and see attitude to see how the day and week develops before making any new trades.

Wilshire index Price: (Total Wilshire 5000 value divided by 5000)

Sep 18 –           $4.136

Sep 11 –           $4.138

Sep 04 –           $4.061

Aug 28 –          $4.194

Aug 21 –          $4.154

Aug 14 –          $4.402

Aug 07 –          $4.371

Jul 31 – $4.436

Jul 24 – $4.381

Jul 02 – $4.390

Jun 26 –           $4.449

Jun 19 –           $4.470

Jun 12 –           $4.439

Wilshire 5000 Index

Wilshire 5000 Index

Jan 02 2015 –   $4.333

MACD is a simple momentum indicator. Buy signals occur when the black line crosses over the red line. Sell signals happen when the black line crosses beneath the red line.

3 types of analysis.


Technical analysis is the study of past market prices and trading volume. It will keep you trading with the market, rather than against it.

Fundamental analysis is the study of business quality and value. It will help you pinpoint great businesses at great prices… and avoid bad businesses at inflated prices.

Sentiment analysis is the study of the opinions of market participants. You can use it to make sure you’re not standing with the crowd just as it’s about to get dumped overboard.
———-

Market Watch

Trailing Stop Loss

Don’t forget to place a trailing stop loss on all your positions as you make the purchases. Depending on your risk tolerance place a stop loss anywhere between 10 and 25 percent for mid to large cap stocks, ETF’s and mutual funds. Consider even large percentage for small cap stocks including mutual funds and ETFs.

Last Week:

Market conditions are Mildly Bearish in a Bull Market as of 2015-09-18. This means traders and investors should consider trading with a Neutral or Bearish bias by raising stop levels on winners and selling losers. The rank of the Bull Market is 0.0819 which indicates the current market conditions are Extreme, Risk of a reversal is high.

Top Relative Timing – Industries (in order of timing)

Building (A/C Heating)

Electrical (Connectors)

Building (Mobile)

Machinery (Automation)

Personal (Tobacco)

Top Relative Timing – Sectors (in order of timing)

Building

Bank

Container

Market

REIT

Stocks to consider based on dividend yield

S&P 500

 

Windstream (WIN) 8.67 %
Denbury Resources (DNR) 8.62 %
CenturyLink (CTL) 8.43 %
Frontier Comm (FTR) 8.42 %
Percent change, 200-day moving average

Cablevision (CVC) 43.54 %

Teco Energy (TE) 32.73 %

Cameron Int’l (CAM) 23.21 %

Amazon (AMZN) 21.27 %

Stocks going up fast

First Majestic Silver (AG)

Fit  (FIT)

Navidea BioPharm. (NAVB)

Vasco Data Security (VDSI)

New 52 week High ( random selected)

Aceto Corp. (ACET)

Cablevision (CVC)

Hill-Rom Holdings (HRC)

Resource Capital (RSO)

Zacks Investment Research

Bull of the Day – Sep 18

Tesoro (TSO)

Tesoro returned over $300 million to shareholders in Q2 through stock buybacks and dividends. The company also announced an 18% in its quarterly dividend to $0.50 per share. That corresponds to a dividend yield of 2.1%.

Daniel Iuculano, AAMS CMFC

Accredited Asset Management Specialist

Chartered Mutual Fund Counselor